Ferrari SF90 Stradale

2019-20254.0L hybrid V8Hybrid hypercarVerified per report
Price my car
Current market valueUS$444,806From 9 sale records
12-month future valueUS$385,811 – US$535,875+1.9% base case
5-year future valueUS$368,135 – US$702,300+4.1% cumulative
Action signalHOLDBase case is range-bound at +1.9%/yr.
Confidence score
76/100
High
High evidence quality

Historical & forecast value (USD)

Sale evidence
HistoricalForecast (base case)Bull caseBear case
$121K$576K$1.0M$1.5M$1.9M202320242025202620272028202920302031Today$714K$508K$362K

Historical line built from 20 completed sales.

Why we rate it this way

High confidence
Mileage sensitivityLower mileage and careful ownership records materially improve buyer confidence.
Originality and provenanceOriginal specification, factory records and clean history remain central to value.
Rarity / productionLimited supply and recognized special-series status support pricing resilience.
Maintenance confidenceRecent service, warranty position and known ownership costs affect liquidity.
Action summary
HOLD

Weakening market posture

Base case points lower over the next 12 months. Current supply is outpacing collector demand at this stage of the model’s life, and this is expected to ease only gradually.

Price a specific car

Active listings snapshot

3 live
3

Total active listings for this exact model

Below US$407,99600%
Around the median3100%
Above US$551,99400%
Asking medianUS$479,995
Median mileage1,313 mi

Recent comparable sales

20 recorded
DateYearPriceMileageSource
Jul 28, 2026US$499,9902,280 miferrariofsandiego.com
Jul 27, 2026US$529,999804 miferrariofsandiego.com
Jul 27, 20262021US$391,000Not disclosedBring a Trailer
Jul 24, 2026US$439,0003,558 misanfrancisco.ferraridealers.com
Jul 22, 2026US$439,8792,750 miferrariranchomirage.com
Jun 25, 20262023US$495,000781 miBring a Trailer
Apr 20, 20262021US$416,500Not disclosedBring a Trailer
Apr 13, 20262022US$363,000Not disclosedBring a Trailer

Forecast reasoning

Evidence and risks

Current value leans on 9 completed sales from the last 6 months with high evidence confidence. observed dated-sale momentum is -1.1% annualized, supply is 0.27 listings per recent sale. The 12-month base case points higher at +1.9% after supply, confidence and mean-reversion checks.

Risks to the forecast

  • Thin public sales records can make short-term values look more volatile than the real buyer market.
  • High-mileage, modified or unclear-history cars trade at a discount and can distort simple averages.
  • Macro pressure, financing conditions and seasonal listing volume can soften transaction ranges.

Stored forecast reasoning

For reference, this is the stored long-run thesis; the chart above is currently evidence-backed and may differ: SF90 remains in active production with meaningful allocation volume, and hybrid powertrain complexity is weighing on secondary-market confidence versus naturally aspirated peers.

Completed sales20Active listings3Evidence confidence98/100Liquidity / supplyHigh / TightCurrencyUSD

Price a specific car

23 comparables on file
Estimated valueUS$487,000
Typical rangeUS$449,937 – US$615,000
Comparables used23
Per 1,000 miles-US$7,420

Priced from 23 comparables matching this model.

Forecast value for this car
DownsideUS$418,953
1Y expectedUS$497,826+2.2%
UpsideUS$591,546

Applies the model's evidence-backed forecast path to this car's US$487,000 value today. Scenarios, not guarantees.

YearTypeMileageColourPriceSource
Sold2,280 miUS$499,990View
Sold804 miUS$529,999View
2021SoldUS$391,000View
Sold3,558 miUS$439,000View
Sold2,750 miUS$439,879View
2023Sold781 miUS$495,000View
2021SoldUS$416,500View
2022SoldUS$363,000View
2023Sold96 miUS$487,000View
2024SoldUS$1,700,000View

MRT Strada Car Index is for informational purposes and is not investment advice. Data refreshed August 8, 2026 from supabase market.