Ferrari 488 Pista

2018-20203.9L twin-turbo V8Lightweight specialVerified per report

Price my car

Current market valueUS$929,436From 5 sale records

12-month future valueUS$764,695 – US$1,207,755+3.5% base case

5-year future valueUS$697,584 – US$1,713,224+1.9% cumulative

Action signalHOLDBase case is range-bound at +3.5%/yr.

Confidence score

74/100

High

High evidence quality

Historical & forecast value (USD)

Sale evidence

HistoricalForecast (base case)Bull caseBear case

Historical line built from 27 completed sales.

Why we rate it this way

High confidence

Mileage sensitivityLower mileage and careful ownership records materially improve buyer confidence.

Originality and provenanceOriginal specification, factory records and clean history remain central to value.

Rarity / productionLimited supply and recognized special-series status support pricing resilience.

Maintenance confidenceRecent service, warranty position and known ownership costs affect liquidity.

Action summary

HOLD

Softening market posture

Base case points modestly lower over the next 12 months as supply and allocation-era volume work through the market; well-documented, well-specified cars should hold up best.

Price a specific car

Active listings snapshot

13 live

Total active listings for this exact model

Below US$871,25018%

Around the median862%

Above US$1,178,750431%

Asking medianUS$1,025,000

Median mileage6,680 mi

Recent comparable sales

27 recorded

Date	Year	Price	Mileage	Source
Jul 28, 2026	—	US$1,599,995	1,823 mi	europeanexoticcenter.com
Jul 21, 2026	2019	US$955,000	5,000 mi	Bring a Trailer
Jun 10, 2026	2019	US$874,000	3,000 mi	Bring a Trailer
Mar 12, 2026	2019	US$785,000	4,000 mi	Bring a Trailer
Feb 19, 2026	2019	US$825,000	1,500 mi	Bring a Trailer
Mar 25, 2025	2019	US$672,000	6,000 mi	Bring a Trailer
Jul 3, 2024	2019	US$480,000	Not disclosed	Bring a Trailer
May 7, 2024	2020	US$434,000	Not disclosed	Bring a Trailer

Forecast reasoning

Evidence and risks

Current value leans on 5 completed sales from the last 6 months with high evidence confidence. observed dated-sale momentum is +9.1% annualized, supply is 2.60 listings per recent sale. The 12-month base case points higher at +3.5% after supply, confidence and mean-reversion checks.

Risks to the forecast

Thin public sales records can make short-term values look more volatile than the real buyer market.
High-mileage, modified or unclear-history cars trade at a discount and can distort simple averages.
Macro pressure, financing conditions and seasonal listing volume can soften transaction ranges.

Stored forecast reasoning

For reference, this is the stored long-run thesis; the chart above is currently evidence-backed and may differ: Pista is still working through a wave of allocation-era cars reaching the secondary market, which has kept asking prices under pressure versus their original premiums.

Completed sales27Active listings13Evidence confidence93/100Liquidity / supplyHigh / ElevatedCurrencyUSD

Price a specific car

40 comparables on file

YearMileageBody styleExterior colourInterior colour

Estimated valueUS$662,000

Typical rangeUS$514,250 – US$992,443

Comparables used40

Per 1,000 milesNot measurable

Priced from 40 comparables matching this model.

Forecast value for this car

DownsideUS$538,474

1Y expectedUS$684,498+3.4%

UpsideUS$870,121

Applies the model's evidence-backed forecast path to this car's US$662,000 value today. Scenarios, not guarantees.

Year	Type	Mileage	Colour	Price	Source
—	Sold	1,823 mi	—	US$1,599,995	View
2019	Sold	5,000 mi	—	US$955,000	View
2019	Sold	3,000 mi	—	US$874,000	View
2019	Sold	4,000 mi	—	US$785,000	View
2019	Sold	1,500 mi	—	US$825,000	View
2019	Sold	6,000 mi	—	US$672,000	View
2019	Sold	—	—	US$480,000	View
2020	Sold	—	—	US$434,000	View
2019	Sold	—	—	US$512,000	View
2020	Sold	188 mi	—	US$515,000	View

MRT Strada Car Index is for informational purposes and is not investment advice. Data refreshed August 8, 2026 from supabase market.