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Ferrari 458 Speciale

2013-20154.5L V8Lightweight specialVerified per report
Price my car
Current market valueUS$1,222,065From 3 sale records
12-month future valueUS$996,275 – US$1,675,761+6.6% base case
5-year future valueUS$911,949 – US$2,534,790+25.1% cumulative
Action signalBUYBase case points up +6.6%/yr with 77/100 confidence.
Confidence score
77/100
High
High evidence quality

Historical & forecast value (USD)

Sale evidence
HistoricalForecast (base case)Bull caseBear case
$45K$781K$1.5M$2.3M$3.0M20212022202320242025202620272028202920302031Today$2.6M$1.5M$889K

Historical line built from 21 completed sales.

Why we rate it this way

High confidence
Mileage sensitivityLower mileage and careful ownership records materially improve buyer confidence.
Originality and provenanceOriginal specification, factory records and clean history remain central to value.
Rarity / productionLimited supply and recognized special-series status support pricing resilience.
Maintenance confidenceRecent service, warranty position and known ownership costs affect liquidity.
Action summary
BUY

Firm market posture

Base case remains firm for the next 12 months. The strongest examples should trade near the upper end of the range, while cars needing history clarification or service work should remain closer to the lower band.

Price a specific car

Recent sold snapshot

21 sold
21

No live inventory for this model — showing the most recent completed sales instead

Below US$511,239733%
Around the median838%
Above US$691,677629%
Sold medianUS$601,458
Median mileage3,600 mi

Recent comparable sales

21 recorded
DateYearPriceMileageSource
Jul 29, 20262015US$920,000Not disclosedBring a Trailer
Jul 22, 20262015US$2,125,0002,200 miBring a Trailer
Jun 11, 20262015US$1,129,0004,100 miBring a Trailer
Jul 3, 20252015US$650,000Not disclosedBring a Trailer
Apr 18, 20252015US$612,000Not disclosedBring a Trailer
Mar 6, 20252015US$752,000945 miBring a Trailer
Dec 13, 20242015US$448,6009,000 miBring a Trailer
Oct 24, 20232014US$455,0007,000 miBring a Trailer

Forecast reasoning

Evidence and risks

Current value leans on 3 completed sales from the last 6 months with high evidence confidence. observed dated-sale momentum is +7.9% annualized, supply is 0.00 listings per recent sale. The 12-month base case points higher at +6.6% after supply, confidence and mean-reversion checks.

Risks to the forecast

  • Thin public sales records can make short-term values look more volatile than the real buyer market.
  • High-mileage, modified or unclear-history cars trade at a discount and can distort simple averages.
  • Macro pressure, financing conditions and seasonal listing volume can soften transaction ranges.

Stored forecast reasoning

For reference, this is the stored long-run thesis; the chart above is currently evidence-backed and may differ: Speciale production was meaningfully smaller than the base 458 and the naturally aspirated V8 is increasingly viewed as the last of its kind for the model line.

Completed sales21Active listings0Evidence confidence78/100Liquidity / supplyLow / TightCurrencyUSD

Price a specific car

21 comparables on file
Estimated valueUS$601,458
Typical rangeUS$492,000 – US$752,000
Comparables used21
Per 1,000 miles-US$53,201

Priced from 21 comparables matching this model.

Forecast value for this car
DownsideUS$483,999
1Y expectedUS$635,926+5.7%
UpsideUS$835,544

Applies the model's evidence-backed forecast path to this car's US$601,458 value today. Scenarios, not guarantees.

YearTypeMileageColourPriceSource
2015Sold——US$920,000View
2015Sold2,200 mi—US$2,125,000View
2015Sold4,100 mi—US$1,129,000View
2015Sold——US$650,000View
2015Sold——US$612,000View
2015Sold945 mi—US$752,000View
2015Sold9,000 mi—US$448,600View
2014Sold7,000 mi—US$455,000View
2015Sold10,000 mi—US$441,458View
2014Sold1,000 mi—US$538,800View

MRT Strada Car Index is for informational purposes and is not investment advice. Data refreshed August 8, 2026 from supabase market.