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Ferrari 458 Italia

2009-20154.5L V8Modern V8Verified per report
Price my car
Current market valueUS$297,891From 9 sale records
12-month future valueUS$259,169 – US$369,100+4.0% base case
5-year future valueUS$250,085 – US$501,161+5.0% cumulative
Action signalHOLDBase case is range-bound at +4.0%/yr.
Confidence score
71/100
High
High evidence quality

Historical & forecast value (USD)

Sale evidence
HistoricalForecast (base case)Bull caseBear case
$74K$200K$325K$451K$576K20212022202320242025202620272028202920302031Today$510K$354K$246K

Historical line built from 50 completed sales.

Why we rate it this way

High confidence
Mileage sensitivityLower mileage and careful ownership records materially improve buyer confidence.
Originality and provenanceOriginal specification, factory records and clean history remain central to value.
Rarity / productionLimited supply and recognized special-series status support pricing resilience.
Maintenance confidenceRecent service, warranty position and known ownership costs affect liquidity.
Action summary
HOLD

Stable market posture

Base case is range-bound for the next 12 months, with the model trading in a defined band rather than trending clearly higher or lower.

Price a specific car

Active listings snapshot

3 live
3

Total active listings for this exact model

Below US$280,49600%
Around the median267%
Above US$379,494133%
Asking medianUS$329,995
Median mileage22,031 mi

Recent comparable sales

50 recorded
DateYearPriceMileageSource
Aug 5, 20262015US$470,0001,200 miBring a Trailer
Jul 28, 20262010US$285,919Not disclosedBring a Trailer
Jul 24, 2026—US$399,99013,483 miferrarisiliconvalley.com
Jul 21, 20262014US$450,0004,300 miBring a Trailer
Jun 24, 20262011US$293,00023,000 miBring a Trailer
May 13, 20262012US$225,000Not disclosedBring a Trailer
Apr 20, 20262014US$202,000Not disclosedBring a Trailer
Apr 13, 20262012US$234,000Not disclosedBring a Trailer

Forecast reasoning

Evidence and risks

Current value leans on 9 completed sales from the last 6 months with high evidence confidence. observed dated-sale momentum is +3.0% annualized, supply is 0.21 listings per recent sale. The 12-month base case points higher at +4.0% after supply, confidence and mean-reversion checks.

Risks to the forecast

  • Thin public sales records can make short-term values look more volatile than the real buyer market.
  • High-mileage, modified or unclear-history cars trade at a discount and can distort simple averages.
  • Macro pressure, financing conditions and seasonal listing volume can soften transaction ranges.

Stored forecast reasoning

For reference, this is the stored long-run thesis; the chart above is currently evidence-backed and may differ: Base 458 Italia supply remains relatively plentiful and nearly all cars are paddle-shift, which caps upside versus rarer specials in the same family.

Completed sales50Active listings3Evidence confidence89/100Liquidity / supplyHigh / TightCurrencyUSD

Price a specific car

53 comparables on file
Estimated valueUS$202,000
Typical rangeUS$178,000 – US$234,000
Comparables used53
Per 1,000 miles-US$978

Priced from 53 comparables matching this model.

Forecast value for this car
DownsideUS$174,196
1Y expectedUS$209,729+3.8%
UpsideUS$252,509

Applies the model's evidence-backed forecast path to this car's US$202,000 value today. Scenarios, not guarantees.

YearTypeMileageColourPriceSource
2015Sold1,200 mi—US$470,000View
2010Sold——US$285,919View
—Sold13,483 mi—US$399,990View
2014Sold4,300 mi—US$450,000View
2011Sold23,000 mi—US$293,000View
2012Sold——US$225,000View
2014Sold——US$202,000View
2012Sold——US$234,000View
2011Sold6,000 mi—US$233,000View
2011Sold20,000 mi—US$188,777View

MRT Strada Car Index is for informational purposes and is not investment advice. Data refreshed August 8, 2026 from supabase market.